Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Campo de la Constitucion, Yecla
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Borona J.
45'
Melli P.
45'
Melli P.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Yeclano and La Union (Malacitano) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeclano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Yeclano
30%
Draws
28%
La Union (Malacitano)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeclano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Union (Malacitano) come out ahead of Yeclano on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Yeclano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 68%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeclano La Union (Malacitano)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Yeclano
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Yeclano
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
2:0
Mar 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeclano Compare

Top Goalscorer Borona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeclano 51 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeclano La Union (Malacitano)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Yeclano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Yeclano's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

La Union (Malacitano)'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yeclano VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeclano

(Home)
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
08 Aug
Yeclano
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6

La Union (Malacitano)

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)