Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Campo de la Constitucion, Yecla
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Borona J.
45'
Melli P.
45'
Melli P.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Yeclano and La Union (Malacitano) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeclano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yeclano
40%
Draws
29%
La Union (Malacitano)
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Yeclano have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — La Union (Malacitano) are scoring more at 1.63.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 68%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeclano La Union (Malacitano)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Yeclano
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Yeclano
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
2:0
Mar 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano vs La Union (Malacitano)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeclano Compare

Top Goalscorer Borona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeclano 42 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeclano La Union (Malacitano)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Yeclano's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Yeclano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

La Union (Malacitano)'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yeclano VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeclano

(Home)
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2
Yeclano
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1
Almeria B
12 Apr
Antoniano
1 : 1
Yeclano
04 Apr
Yeclano
2 : 3
CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6

La Union (Malacitano)

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)