Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Cohen B. E.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Yehuda
30%
Draws
27%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yehuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Yehuda have won more games recently than Hapoel Afula.
  • Win probability leans Yehuda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 18%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yehuda Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Sep 30, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
2:2
Mar 22, 2024 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yehuda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen B. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yehuda 85 / 100
Hapoel Afula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yehuda Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yehuda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yehuda scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Yehuda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Afula let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yehuda VS Hapoel Afula
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yehuda

(Home)
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
31 Aug
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Yehuda
23 Aug
Yehuda
3 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)