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Yehuda vs Hapoel Jerusalem

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Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
2 - 2
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yehuda play Hapoel Jerusalem in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yehuda averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Hapoel Jerusalem averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Yehuda won 0, Hapoel Jerusalem won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 21, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Yehuda and 0.81 for Hapoel Jerusalem. This points to a Yehuda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Yehuda
35%
Draws
26%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yehuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Yehuda picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 26%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yehuda Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.59 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Yehuda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yehuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachmani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yehuda 40 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yehuda Hapoel Jerusalem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yehuda or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yehuda attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Jerusalem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yehuda scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Hapoel Jerusalem let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Yehuda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Jerusalem lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75