Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Abdukakhkharov E.

AI Match Summary

Akademiya Ontustik in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
15%
Draws
85%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademiya Ontustik have won more games recently than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Win probability leans Akademiya Ontustik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 3 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:1
Jun 18, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukakhkharov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Akademiya Ontustik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademiya Ontustik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademiya Ontustik has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Yelimay Semey 2's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Away concern: Akademiya Ontustik has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Akademiya Ontustik
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Akademiya Ontustik

(Away)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)