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Yelimay Semey 2 vs Aktobe 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Levkovich V.
28' Event
Sergazy M.
Assist: Levkovich V.
45' Event
Kenzhegulov A.

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aktobe 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
15%
Draws
85%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe 2 lately — more wins on the board than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Model gives Aktobe 2 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Aktobe 2
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.08 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Aktobe 2
2:5
May 21, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levkovich V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergazy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kikbaev M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kenzhegulov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 27 / 100
Aktobe 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Aktobe 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Yelimay Semey 2's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Aktobe 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Aktobe 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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