Sport Picks
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
First League 
Match Events
37'
37'
Ulshin A.
Assist: Kalybayev D.
45'
45'
Kagazbaev N.
70'
70'
Litosh A.
Assist: Zaynetdinov D.
AI Match Summary
The First League game between Yelimay Semey 2 and Shakhter Karagandy finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhter Karagandy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shakhter Karagandy come out ahead of Yelimay Semey 2 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Shakhter Karagandy's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yelimay Semey 2 | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 24 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 2.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.08 | 0.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:3
May 26, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yelimay Semey 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Shakhter Karagandy Compare
Top Goalscorer Ulshin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kagazbaev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yelimay Semey 2 Shakhter Karagandy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey 2 scored in 54% of their last 24 outings.
Shakhter Karagandy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 24% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Yelimay Semey 2 VS Shakhter Karagandy
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yelimay Semey 2
(Home) 08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3 Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1 Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1 Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0 Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3 Arys
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1 Akademiya Ontustik
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5 Aktobe 2
06 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 3
Shakhter Karagandy
(Away) 08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0 Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0 Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0 Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6 Shakhter Karagandy
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66:8 | 65 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 67:13 | 57 |
| 3 | Turan | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 52:22 | 51 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Astana 2 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42:49 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 22:27 | 32 |
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 31:33 | 31 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35:41 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32:54 | 27 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 12 | Aktobe 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42:73 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44:61 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19:50 | 12 |
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