Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadion Spartak

Alashkert

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey play Alashkert in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yelimay Semey averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Alashkert averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Yelimay Semey won 3, Alashkert won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Yelimay Semey and 1.44 for Alashkert. This points to a Alashkert double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Yelimay Semey

21%

Draws

40%

Alashkert

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Yelimay Semey picked up more points recently compared to Alashkert.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 16%

Alashkert Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yelimay Semey	Alashkert
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	12	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.78	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.56	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-0

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3-0

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-1

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 38 / 100

Alashkert 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yelimay Semey Alashkert

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alashkert or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yelimay Semey attacking → ← attacking Alashkert

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Alashkert let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Yelimay Semey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alashkert lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 48

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63