Sport Picks
Yelimay Semey vs Ertis Pavlodar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Stadion Spartak, Semey 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Yelimay Semey in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Yelimay Semey have won more games recently than Ertis Pavlodar.
- Win probability leans Ertis Pavlodar's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yelimay Semey | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yelimay Semey Compare
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yelimay Semey found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Ertis Pavlodar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Yelimay Semey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Yelimay Semey
(Home)Ertis Pavlodar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 13 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
