Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena

Yelimay Semey

2 - 2

FC Astana

Our Tip

Match Events

Tomasov M.

Assist: Kasym A.

Zhumakhanov A.

Assist: Ilic H.

27'

Placca F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Yelimay Semey and FC Astana finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Yelimay Semey

33%

Draws

27%

FC Astana

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and FC Astana come out ahead of Yelimay Semey on wins alone.
Win probability leans Yelimay Semey's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 17%

FC Astana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yelimay Semey	FC Astana
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	10
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League

Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sep 14, 2025 Premier League

FC Astana vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

3:3

May 30, 2025 Premier League

Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Oct 20, 2024 Premier League

Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Sep 25, 2024 League Cup

FC Astana vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumakhanov A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Placca F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasov M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Abrayev M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 39 / 100

FC Astana 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yelimay Semey FC Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Astana let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Yelimay Semey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS FC Astana

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	17	12	4	1	30:12	40
2	Kairat Almaty	18	11	6	1	34:12	39
3	FC Astana	17	8	5	4	25:19	29
4	Okzhetpes	17	7	6	4	22:24	27
5	Yelimay Semey	16	7	5	4	24:19	26
6	Ulytau	17	7	5	5	14:15	26
7	Aktobe	17	7	4	6	22:18	25
8	Zhenis	17	5	6	6	14:19	21
9	Atyrau	16	3	9	4	12:13	18
10	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	17	4	6	7	21:25	18
11	Tobol	17	5	3	9	19:25	18
12	Kaisar Kyzylorda	18	3	9	6	13:20	18
13	Kaspij Aktau	17	5	2	10	15:22	17
14	Altai	17	3	7	7	12:18	16
15	Kyzylzhar	17	4	3	10	17:25	15
16	Ertis Pavlodar	17	1	8	8	14:22	11