Sport Picks
Yelimay Semey W vs FC Astana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women 
Match Events
25'
25'
Giss N.
65'
65'
Yerzhankyzy Z.
67'
67'
Zhaynakova A.
Assist: Tian A.
AI Match Summary
The League Women game between Yelimay Semey W and FC Astana W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yelimay Semey W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yelimay Semey W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Yelimay Semey W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Yelimay Semey W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 19%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yelimay Semey W | FC Astana W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs FC Astana W
3:0
May 12, 2026 League Women
FC Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
4:0
Aug 4, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs FC Astana W
3:2
May 5, 2025 League Women
FC Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yelimay Semey W Compare
Top Goalscorer Yerzhankyzy Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhaynakova A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
FC Astana W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yelimay Semey W 85 / 100
FC Astana W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yelimay Semey W FC Astana W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yelimay Semey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Yelimay Semey W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
FC Astana W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Yelimay Semey W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Yelimay Semey W VS FC Astana W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Yelimay Semey W
(Home) 07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2 Zhenis Astana W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1 Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2 Zhenis Astana W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
14 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 0 Altai W
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 6 Aktobe W
Page 1 of 3
FC Astana W
(Away) 08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
01 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
7 : 0 FC Astana W
25 Aug
FC Astana W
0 : 7 Aktobe W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
11 Aug
FC Astana W
1 : 5 Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
7 : 0 FC Astana W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
04 Aug
Altai W
1 : 2 FC Astana W
21 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 0 FC Astana W
07 Jul
Okzhetpes W
4 : 1 FC Astana W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
