Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Yeni Malatya Stadyumu

Aliaga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yeni Malatyaspor host Aliaga in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. Aliaga go into this one as the clear favorite. Aliaga have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Yeni Malatyaspor have conceded 2.63 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Yeni Malatyaspor have won 0 to Aliaga's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.29 - 2.81) back Aliaga to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Yeni Malatyaspor

Draws

90%

Aliaga

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Aliaga have won more games recently than Yeni Malatyaspor.
Win probability leans Aliaga's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Aliaga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yeni Malatyaspor	Aliaga
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	0	19
Draws	2	7
Losses	28	9
Goals Scored	0	3
Goals Conceded	2.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Aliaga

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

0:3

Oct 11, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Aliaga vs Yeni Malatyaspor

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

8:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100

Aliaga 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yeni Malatyaspor Aliaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Aliaga conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Yeni Malatyaspor's goal record stands at 20% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Aliaga registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Malatyaspor VS Aliaga

0 Goals Scored 3

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52