Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu host Osmaniyespor in the 3. Lig Group 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Osmaniyespor have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have conceded 2.57 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have won 2 to Osmaniyespor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.56, favoring Osmaniyespor. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
15%
Draws
0%
Osmaniyespor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Osmaniyespor have won more games recently than Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 15%
Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Osmaniyespor
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Turkish Cup
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:3
Jan 28, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor
0:1
Sep 20, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 84 / 100
Osmaniyespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Osmaniyespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osmaniyespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Osmaniyespor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu VS Osmaniyespor
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Home)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
Page 1 of 6

Osmaniyespor

(Away)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1
Osmaniyespor
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1
Osmaniyespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)