Sport Picks
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk 
Match Events
26'
26'
Kanaplin A.
27'
27'
Magomedov R.
32'
32'
Mazurin A.
AI Match Summary
Yenisey in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yenisey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yenisey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yenisey lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Tula.
- Yenisey are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yenisey | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
3:1
May 11, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Aug 5, 2024 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yenisey Compare
Top Goalscorer Okladnikov A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nadolskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Arsenal Tula Compare
Top Goalscorer Magomedov R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yenisey 50 / 100
Arsenal Tula 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yenisey Arsenal Tula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yenisey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arsenal Tula conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Yenisey scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Yenisey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yenisey VS Arsenal Tula
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yenisey
(Home) 26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0 Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2 Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
15 Aug
Yenisey
2 : 2 Kamaz
08 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Tula
(Away) 04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
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