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Yesil Bursa vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yesil Bursa play Karsiyaka in the Turkish Cup 2017/2018. Karsiyaka are favorites here. Recently, Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Karsiyaka averaged 2 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Yesil Bursa won 1, Karsiyaka won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2017 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Yesil Bursa and 1.24 for Karsiyaka. This points to a Karsiyaka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Yesil Bursa
22%
Draws
56%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yesil Bursa picked up more points recently compared to Karsiyaka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 19%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Bursa Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2017 Turkish Cup
Yesil Bursa vs Karsiyaka
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Karabacak O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gokali O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Caliskan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 24 / 100
Karsiyaka 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Bursa Karsiyaka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Karsiyaka & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yesil Bursa attacking → ← attacking Karsiyaka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Bursa scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Karsiyaka let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Yesil Bursa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Karsiyaka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88