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Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Griffiths J.
32'
Griffiths J.
87' Event
Reid R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Ynyshir Albions and Aberystwyth finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ynyshir Albions
35%
Draws
38%
Aberystwyth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ynyshir Albions haven't matched Aberystwyth's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aberystwyth a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 14%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Aberystwyth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Ynyshir Albions
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 23 / 100
Aberystwyth 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ynyshir Albions scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Aberystwyth conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Aberystwyth
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
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Aberystwyth

(Away)
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)