Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Ynyshir Albions Logo

Ynyshir Albions

0 - 0
FT
Baglan Dragons Logo

Baglan Dragons

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ynyshir Albions
30%
Draws
35%
Baglan Dragons
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Baglan Dragons have won more games recently than Ynyshir Albions.
  • Win probability leans Ynyshir Albions's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Baglan Dragons
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 42 / 100
Baglan Dragons 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Baglan Dragons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Baglan Dragons has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ynyshir Albions stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Baglan Dragons
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
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Baglan Dragons

(Away)
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)