Sport Picks
Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Facey D.
45'
45'
Griffiths J.
71'
71'
Tweedy T.
AI Match Summary
Llantwit Major in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llantwit Major.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Llantwit Major lately — more wins on the board than Ynyshir Albions.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Ynyshir Albions taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Llantwit Major have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 68%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ynyshir Albions | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Ynyshir Albions
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
3:1
Oct 1, 2022 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Ynyshir Albions
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ynyshir Albions Compare
Top Goalscorer Facey D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Griffiths J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Tweedy T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jennings F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ynyshir Albions 95 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ynyshir Albions Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Ynyshir Albions's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ynyshir Albions stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ynyshir Albions VS Llantwit Major
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ynyshir Albions
(Home) 12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
28 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
2 : 2 Trethomas Bluebirds
14 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
4 : 0 Newport City
28 Feb
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Treowen
Page 1 of 3
Llantwit Major
(Away) 12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
20 Mar
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
