Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Griffiths J.
21' Event
Salter C.
57' Event
Ellis J.

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ynyshir Albions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ynyshir Albions
6%
Draws
4%
Newport City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newport City lately — more wins on the board than Ynyshir Albions.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ynyshir Albions taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 18%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Newport City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Newport City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 85 / 100
Newport City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Newport City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YNY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ynyshir Albions remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Newport City registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Newport City
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0
Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
2 : 2
Trethomas Bluebirds
24 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
21 Mar
Carmarthen Town
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

Newport City

(Away)
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5
Newport
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0
Newport City
18 Apr
Newport City
0 : 5
Trefelin
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
0 : 1
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)