Sport Picks

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Yobe Stars vs Doma United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025 Stephen Keshi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yobe Stars play Doma United in the NNL 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yobe Stars averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Doma United averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Yobe Stars won 2, Doma United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 7, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Yobe Stars and 0.94 for Doma United. This points to a Yobe Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Yobe Stars
25%
Draws
34%
Doma United
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Yobe Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Yobe Stars picked up more points recently compared to Doma United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Yobe Stars Clean Sheet 24%
Doma United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yobe Stars Doma United
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Doma United
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Doma United
3:1
Jan 18, 2025 NNL
Doma United vs Yobe Stars
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yobe Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullahi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idris U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Doma United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yobe Stars 42 / 100
Doma United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yobe Stars Doma United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yobe Stars or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yobe Stars attacking → ← attacking Doma United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yobe Stars scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Doma United let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Yobe Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Doma United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 49
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wikki Tourists31204:05
2Barau31202:05
3Yobe Stars31112:54
4Doma United30121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Warri Wolves32015:26
2Kun Khalifa32013:46
3Osun United31113:34
4Crown FC30122:41