Sport Picks
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League New National Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
7'
7'
Miidera S.
11'
11'
Leo Ceara
Assist: Ogawa R.
18'
18'
Tanimura K.
Assist: Amano J.
AI Match Summary
Kashima Antlers in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashima Antlers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Kashima Antlers have won more games recently than Yokohama F. Marinos.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Kashima Antlers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kashima Antlers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 13%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashima Antlers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
3:4
May 10, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
May 25, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Miidera S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Kashima Antlers Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Ceara
2 Goals Assists Leader Cavric A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yokohama F. Marinos 22 / 100
Kashima Antlers 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima Antlers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashima Antlers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Kashima Antlers has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kashima Antlers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Home) 10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
02 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Kyoto
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 3
Kashima Antlers
(Away) 09 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1 Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
02 Sept
Mito
4 : 2 Kashima Antlers
29 Aug
Verdy
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
07 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 4 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
