Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yokohama FC vs Montedio Yamagata

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, Yokohama
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Disaro A. S.
8' Event
Okamoto K.
Assist: Kida R.
38'
Yamada K.

AI Match Summary

Montedio Yamagata in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montedio Yamagata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yokohama FC
6%
Draws
4%
Montedio Yamagata
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montedio Yamagata haven't matched Yokohama FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yokohama FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Yokohama FC Clean Sheet 68%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama FC Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Yokohama FC vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 J2 League
Yokohama FC vs Montedio Yamagata
2:0
Sep 14, 2022 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murata T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Top Goalscorer Disaro A. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okamoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama FC 95 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama FC Montedio Yamagata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Yokohama FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Yokohama FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama FC VS Montedio Yamagata
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
06 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
30 May
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija
23 May
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 3
Yokohama FC
17 May
Yokohama FC
1 : 0
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Montedio Yamagata

(Away)
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
10 May
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 3
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)