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Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, Yokohama
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Match Events

8'
Sub
Yokoyama A. In: Iwasaki R.
Out: Yokoyama A.
12' Event
Takahashi T.
Assist: Yoshida M.
34'
Izumori R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Yokohama FC
15%
Draws
32%
Sagan Tosu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yokohama FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yokohama FC lately — more wins on the board than Sagan Tosu.
  • Win probability leans Yokohama FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yokohama FC Clean Sheet 68%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama FC Sagan Tosu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.36 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J2 League
Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu
2:2
Jul 10, 2024 Emperors Cup
Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC
3:1
Nov 11, 2023 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC
1:3
Jun 3, 2023 J1 League
Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu
1:2
Nov 3, 2021 J1 League
Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwatake K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shimamura T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sagan Tosu Compare

Top Goalscorer Takahashi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoshino K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama FC 68 / 100
Sagan Tosu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama FC Sagan Tosu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama FC scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Yokohama FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sagan Tosu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama FC VS Sagan Tosu
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2
Oita Trinita
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2
Yokohama FC
29 Sept
Gifu
1 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Toyama
3 : 3
Yokohama FC
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Sagan Tosu

(Away)
10 Oct
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)