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Yongchuan Chashan W vs Sichuan W

China China

Super League Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yongchuan Chashan W play Sichuan W in the Super League Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yongchuan Chashan W averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Sichuan W averaged 0.45 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Yongchuan Chashan W won 1, Sichuan W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Yongchuan Chashan W and 1.06 for Sichuan W. This points to a Yongchuan Chashan W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Yongchuan Chashan W
23%
Draws
27%
Sichuan W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Yongchuan Chashan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Yongchuan Chashan W picked up more points recently compared to Sichuan W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Yongchuan Chashan W Clean Sheet 22%
Sichuan W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yongchuan Chashan W Sichuan W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.72 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Super League Women
Yongchuan Chashan W vs Sichuan W
2:0
May 10, 2023 Super League Women
Sichuan W vs Yongchuan Chashan W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yongchuan Chashan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huina S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Li Ying
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sichuan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yongchuan Chashan W 49 / 100
Sichuan W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yongchuan Chashan W Sichuan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yongchuan Chashan W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yongchuan Chashan W attacking → ← attacking Sichuan W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yongchuan Chashan W scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Sichuan W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Yongchuan Chashan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sichuan W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 15
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wuhan Jiangda W22201176:561
2Shanghai RCB W22174159:1355
3Changchun Dazhong W22163336:1551
4Jiangsu Suning W22133635:1442
5Beijing Beikong W22741117:3625
6Shandong Sports Lottery W22661017:2824
7Guangdong Meizhou W22661013:3524
8Zhejiang W22641215:3122
9Yongchuan Chashan W22471116:3419
10Henan Songshan Longmen W22451310:4117
11Shaanxi Changan W22441415:3416
12Sichuan W2243157:3015