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York City vs Sunderland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Le Fee E.
37' Event
Rigg C.
43' Event
Tuterov T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between York City and Sunderland finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
York City
15%
Draws
46%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on York City taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sunderland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
York City Clean Sheet 18%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Sunderland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
York City vs Sunderland
1:5
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
York City vs Sunderland
1:1
Jul 13, 2011 Club Friendly
York City vs Sunderland
1:2
Aug 18, 1998 EFL Cup
Sunderland vs York City
2:1
Aug 11, 1998 EFL Cup
York City vs Sunderland
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Olley G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Fee E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rigg C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 41 / 100
Sunderland 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sunderland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Sunderland
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
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Sunderland

(Away)
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
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