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Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Africans host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kagera Sugar have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Young Africans have conceded 0.47 and scored 2.44. Head-to-head, Young Africans have won 4 to Kagera Sugar's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.63) back Young Africans to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Young Africans
30%
Draws
23%
Kagera Sugar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Africans have won more games recently than Kagera Sugar.
  • Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Young Africans here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Kagera Sugar
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 27 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.44 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
4:0
Aug 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans
0:2
May 8, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
1:0
Feb 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans
0:0
Apr 11, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 76 / 100
Kagera Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Kagera Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Africans scored in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Kagera Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Young Africans remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS Kagera Sugar
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
24 Oct
TRA United
0 : 0
Young Africans
21 Oct
Young Africans
4 : 1
CFFA
17 Oct
CFFA
0 : 4
Young Africans
10 Oct
Simba
2 : 1
Young Africans
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
Page 1 of 7

Kagera Sugar

(Away)
24 Oct
JKT Tanzania
1 : 0
Kagera Sugar
17 Oct
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3
Kagera Sugar
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 8 6 1 1 17:4 19
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
5 Dodoma Jiji 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)