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Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Boys host Etoile-Carouge in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Young Boys at 2.75 goals for, 1.5 against; Etoile-Carouge at 1.25 for, 2.5 against. Past meetings favor Young Boys slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Young Boys. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Young Boys
6%
Draws
4%
Etoile-Carouge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Boys lately — more wins on the board than Etoile-Carouge.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Young Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Young Boys have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Etoile-Carouge
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
5:0
Aug 16, 2019 Swiss Cup
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:1
Oct 27, 2000 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:3
Aug 4, 2000 Challenge League
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 85 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Etoile-Carouge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Young Boys scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Etoile-Carouge conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Etoile-Carouge
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
18 Jul
Young Boys
5 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
10 Jul
Plzen
3 : 5
Young Boys
05 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2
Young Boys
01 Jul
A. Lustenau
0 : 0
Young Boys
17 May
Young Boys
3 : 3
Sion
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Etoile-Carouge

(Away)
18 Jul
Young Boys
5 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
04 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
01 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
27 Jun
Sion
7 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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