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Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Boys host Etoile-Carouge in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Young Boys at 2.79 goals for, 1.5 against; Etoile-Carouge at 1.22 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Young Boys slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Young Boys. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Young Boys
30%
Draws
19%
Etoile-Carouge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Boys lately — more wins on the board than Etoile-Carouge.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Young Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Young Boys have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Etoile-Carouge
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.79 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
5:0
Aug 16, 2019 Swiss Cup
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:1
Oct 27, 2000 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:3
Aug 4, 2000 Challenge League
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 85 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Etoile-Carouge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Boys scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Young Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Etoile-Carouge conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Etoile-Carouge
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
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Etoile-Carouge

(Away)
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
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