Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Boys vs Lille

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Bouaddi A.
33'
Giroud O.
35' Event
Bedia C.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Young Boys and Lille finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Young Boys
35%
Draws
28%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Boys come out ahead of Lille on wins alone.
  • Young Boys are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Lille
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 Europa League
Young Boys vs Lille
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Males D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Lille Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 38 / 100
Lille 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Boys scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Young Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lille has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Lille
3.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Lille

(Away)
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)