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Young Boys vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Boys host Thun in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Thun have shipped 2.23 goals a game lately, while Young Boys have conceded 1.39 and scored 2.82. Past meetings favor Young Boys slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.69, favoring Young Boys. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Young Boys
20%
Draws
28%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Boys come out ahead of Thun on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Young Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 13%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Thun
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.82 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
0:6
May 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
3:8
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
4:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 57 / 100
Thun 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Boys scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Thun let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

Young Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Thun
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
11 Oct
Grasshoppers
0 : 2
Young Boys
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 10 9 1 0 31:7 28
2 Young Boys 10 6 4 0 33:18 22
3 Sion 10 6 1 3 23:17 19
4 St. Gallen 10 5 1 4 17:19 16
5 Zurich 10 4 2 4 18:22 14
6 Servette 10 4 1 5 14:13 13
7 Basel 10 4 1 5 17:20 13
8 Luzern 10 3 3 4 17:22 12
9 Thun 10 3 1 6 17:27 10
10 Vaduz 10 3 0 7 21:21 9
11 Grasshoppers 10 2 2 6 13:26 8
12 Lausanne 10 1 3 6 7:16 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)