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Young Elephant Academy vs Calvary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Elephant Academy in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Elephant Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Young Elephant Academy
25%
Draws
35%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Young Elephant Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Calvary have won more games recently than Young Elephant Academy.
  • Young Elephant Academy are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%
Young Elephant Academy Clean Sheet 20%
Calvary Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Academy Calvary
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 5
Draws 1 8
Losses 0 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant Academy vs Calvary
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant Academy 40 / 100
Calvary 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Academy Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Elephant Academy scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Calvary let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Young Elephant Academy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant Academy VS Calvary
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant Academy

(Home)
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
27 Sept
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Young Elephant Academy

Calvary

(Away)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)