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Young Elephant vs Mbale Heroes

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Young Elephant and Mbale Heroes finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Elephant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Young Elephant
15%
Draws
0%
Mbale Heroes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Elephant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mbale Heroes haven't matched Young Elephant's recent run of results.
  • Young Elephant are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 20%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Mbale Heroes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant vs Mbale Heroes
7:0
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Young Elephant
2:1
Feb 29, 2024 Big League
Young Elephant vs Mbale Heroes
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Young Elephant
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 85 / 100
Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Mbale Heroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbale Heroes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Mbale Heroes registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Young Elephant scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Mbale Heroes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
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Mbale Heroes

(Away)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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