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Young Elephant vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Young Elephant Logo

Young Elephant

3 - 3
FT
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Young Elephant
15%
Draws
26%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Elephant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ntugasaze lately — more wins on the board than Young Elephant.
  • Young Elephant are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 20%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Ntugasaze
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant vs Ntugasaze
3:3
Oct 26, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Young Elephant
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 85 / 100
Ntugasaze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Young Elephant scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Young Elephant remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ntugasaze registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Ntugasaze
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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