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YPA vs Rio Grande Rovaniemi

Finland Finland

Kakkonen North 2004
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

YPA play Rio Grande Rovaniemi in the Kakkonen North 2004. YPA are favorites here. Recently, YPA averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Rio Grande Rovaniemi averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. In past meetings, YPA won 1, Rio Grande Rovaniemi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2004 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for YPA and 1.25 for Rio Grande Rovaniemi. This points to a YPA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
YPA
15%
Draws
26%
Rio Grande Rovaniemi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: YPA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • YPA picked up more points recently compared to Rio Grande Rovaniemi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
YPA Clean Sheet 19%
Rio Grande Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric YPA Rio Grande Rovaniemi
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.91 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2004 Kakkonen North
YPA vs Rio Grande Rovaniemi
7:1
May 22, 2004 Kakkonen North
Rio Grande Rovaniemi vs YPA
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

YPA 57 / 100
Rio Grande Rovaniemi 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
YPA Rio Grande Rovaniemi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick YPA & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

YPA attacking → ← attacking Rio Grande Rovaniemi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

YPA scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Rio Grande Rovaniemi let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

YPA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rio Grande Rovaniemi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 14
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KPV Kokkola20151448:1346
2OLS Oulu20144242:1146
3JBK20112744:3035
4PS Kemi2098337:2635
5FC Kiisto Vaasa2094747:3431
6VIFK2094739:3231
7FC Korsholm Mustasaari20641022:3422
8TUS20631128:3421
9YPA20601436:7418
10Tervarit20421423:3514
11Rio Grande Rovaniemi20421414:5714