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Ypiranga AP vs Trem

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Polaco

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2024 game between Ypiranga AP and Trem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ypiranga AP
15%
Draws
39%
Trem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ypiranga AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Trem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Amapaense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Trem have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ypiranga AP Clean Sheet 10%
Trem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga AP Trem
Matches Played 32 60
Wins 12 31
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Amapaense
Trem vs Ypiranga AP
5:0
Mar 25, 2025 Amapaense
Trem vs Ypiranga AP
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Amapaense
Ypiranga AP vs Trem
0:1
Jul 19, 2023 Amapaense
Trem vs Ypiranga AP
3:1
Jul 12, 2023 Amapaense
Ypiranga AP vs Trem
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga AP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Polaco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga AP 30 / 100
Trem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga AP Trem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga AP scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Trem has conceded goals in 67% of their last 60 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ypiranga AP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga AP VS Trem
0 Goals Scored 2.63
5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga AP

(Home)
16 Mar
Trem
5 : 0
Ypiranga AP
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
07 Mar
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
SAO Jose
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
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Trem

(Away)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 12

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente AP 7 5 2 0 14:5 17
2 Trem 7 5 0 2 12:4 15
3 Santos AP 7 3 3 1 9:6 12
4 Oratorio 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
5 Ypiranga AP 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Santana EC 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
7 Macapa 7 2 0 5 9:13 6
8 Sao Paulo AP 7 0 1 6 6:20 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2024 (Play Offs)