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Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga FC play Botafogo PB in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ypiranga FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Botafogo PB averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Ypiranga FC won 0, Botafogo PB won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jun 15, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Ypiranga FC and 1.38 for Botafogo PB. This points to a Botafogo PB double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ypiranga FC
35%
Draws
35%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC picked up more points recently compared to Botafogo PB.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 17%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Botafogo PB
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Aug 18, 2025 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Jul 16, 2022 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 30 / 100
Botafogo PB 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Botafogo PB

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo PB or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ypiranga FC attacking → ← attacking Botafogo PB

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Botafogo PB let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo PB lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 44
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179