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Ypiranga FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Augusto Potiguar
6'
Cleiton
25'
Pedro Lucas

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ypiranga FC and Barra FC (Santa Catarina) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ypiranga FC
35%
Draws
17%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ypiranga FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Schulz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 77 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
11 Oct
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
CA Metropolitano
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)