Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ypiranga FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Augusto Potiguar
6'
Cleiton
25'
Pedro Lucas

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ypiranga FC and Barra FC (Santa Catarina) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ypiranga FC
17%
Draws
13%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ypiranga FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Schulz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 77 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)