Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ypiranga FC vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Nicolas Schulz In: Dudu
Out: Nicolas Schulz
32'
Walce
35'
Martha

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ypiranga FC and Ituano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ypiranga FC
22%
Draws
18%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC haven't matched Ituano's recent run of results.
  • Ypiranga FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Ituano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Ituano
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Serie C
Ituano vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Ituano
0:0
Jul 18, 2021 Serie C
Ituano vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Nov 28, 2020 Serie C
Ituano vs Ypiranga FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Rafael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estevao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 68 / 100
Ituano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ituano let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Ituano
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
15 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
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Ituano

(Away)
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Figueirense
14 Jun
Itabaiana
2 : 2
Ituano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)