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Ypiranga FC vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Nicolas Schulz
57'
Sub
Thayllon In: Lucas Cardoso
Out: Thayllon
59'
Sub
Leo Rafael In: Felipe Ferreira
Out: Leo Rafael

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ypiranga FC and Paysandu PA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ypiranga FC
20%
Draws
38%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ypiranga FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 17%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Paysandu PA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Paysandu PA
1:0
May 11, 2023 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Paysandu PA
5:0
Apr 30, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ypiranga FC
1:1
Jan 16, 2021 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ypiranga FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Gorne
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paysandu PA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 41 / 100
Paysandu PA 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paysandu PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ypiranga FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Paysandu PA
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)