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Ypiranga vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2018 game between Ypiranga and Decisao finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Decisao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
37%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Decisao come out ahead of Ypiranga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ypiranga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Decisao have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Decisao
Matches Played 35 44
Wins 15 18
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.11 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Ypiranga
2:0
Sep 23, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Decisao
1:3
Sep 2, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Ypiranga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 40 / 100
Decisao 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Decisao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Decisao has conceded goals in 73% of their last 44 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ypiranga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Decisao's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Decisao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga

(Home)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
Page 1 of 7

Decisao

(Away)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrolina 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 1º de Maio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Serrano PE 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Sete de Setembro (PE) 6 0 0 6 0:6 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Porto 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Decisao 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Ypiranga 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
3 Nautico 2 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Timbauba FC 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife B 6 3 2 1 15:6 11
2 Ibis Sport Club 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Cabense 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
4 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)