Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) in this Sapling Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Yuen Long
30%
Draws
41%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Yuen Long haven't matched Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)'s recent run of results.
  • Yuen Long are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 20%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuen Long Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
Matches Played 21 26
Wins 4 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.95 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Sapling Cup
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Yuen Long
5:1
Oct 26, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2:2
Oct 19, 2019 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Yuen Long
8:0
Feb 24, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuen Long 36 / 100
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuen Long Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Yuen Long scored in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Solid form: Yuen Long remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yuen Long VS Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yuen Long

(Home)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
Page 1 of 5

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

(Away)
11 Oct
Eastern AA
0 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
05 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
01 Oct
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2 : 3
Kitchee
28 Sept
Eastern AA
2 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
25 Sept
Happy Valley
2 : 5
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yuen Long 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
2 King Fung Football Club 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
3 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
4 Tai Po 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Eastern AA 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
2 Pegasus 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
3 Southern District 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Kitchee 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
5 Hoi King 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)