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Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2019/2020
Yuen Long Logo

Yuen Long

0 - 3
FT
Lee Man Warriors Logo

Lee Man Warriors

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
N'dri M.
71' Event
Acosta J. L.
73' Event
N'dri M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Lee Man Warriors advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Yuen Long
20%
Draws
60%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lee Man Warriors come out ahead of Yuen Long on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 19%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuen Long Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 4 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.95 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2020 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Yuen Long
0:0
May 9, 2020 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Senior Shield
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
2:3
Mar 17, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yuen Long Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer N'dri M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuen Long 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuen Long Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yuen Long's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Yuen Long went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lee Man Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lee Man Warriors
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yuen Long

(Home)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) -
TBD -
Happy Valley 0
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Southern District -
Kitchee -
TBD -
Yuen Long 0
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Quarter-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 2
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA 1
Southern District 0
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 5
Tai Po 5
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Semi-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 3
Eastern AA 5
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po 0
Final
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 0