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Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

FA Cup Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
Yunnan Yukun Logo

Yunnan Yukun

1 - 0
FT
Chongqing Tonglianglong Logo

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Zhang Zhixiong
46'
Sub
Yue Ruijie In: Amadou I.
Out: Yue Ruijie
53'
Sub
Ng Yu-Hei In: Wu Yongqiang
Out: Ng Yu-Hei
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Yunnan Yukun
30%
Draws
16%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yunnan Yukun lately — more wins on the board than Chongqing Tonglianglong.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Yunnan Yukun have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yunnan Yukun, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 16%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yunnan Yukun Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:0
May 20, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Yunnan Yukun
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 League One
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Yunnan Yukun
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 League One
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:1
Jul 2, 2023 League Two
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Ionita II A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yunnan Yukun 31 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yunnan Yukun Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yunnan Yukun scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Chongqing Tonglianglong let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Yunnan Yukun has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yunnan Yukun VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yunnan Yukun

(Home)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0
Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Guangdong Shudihong 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4
TBD -
Meizhou Hakka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Xiamen Chengyi 0
Shenzhen 2028 1
TBD -
Shaanxi Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Wenzhou Professional 0
TBD -
Nantong Zhiyun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 1
Xiamen Feilu 0
TBD -
Guangdong GZ-Power -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Chongqing Handa 0
Qingdao Red Lions 1
TBD -
Nanjing City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 1
Nantong Haimen 0
TBD -
Guangxi Hengchen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Guangdong Mingtu 0
TBD -
Yanbian Longding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 2
Guizhou Guiyang 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 2
Ganzhou Ruishi 0
TBD -
Suzhou Dongwu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Changchun Xidu 2
TBD -
Dingnan Ganlian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 2
Beijing Technology 1
TBD -
Ningbo Professional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Qingdao Fuli 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
TBD -
Changchun Yatai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Quanzhou Qinggong 0
Jiangxi Lushan 7
TBD -
Dalian Kun City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Ningxia Pingluo 0
Hangzhou Linping 2
TBD -
Foshan Nanshi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 2
Taian Tiankuang 1
TBD -
Shijiazhuang Gongfu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Yunnan Cuanhe 0
Guangzhou Dandelion 1
TBD -
Wuxi Wugou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/32-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Meizhou Hakka 1
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Shenzhen 2028 0
Shaanxi Union 2
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Nantong Zhiyun 1
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Qingdao Red Lions 1
Nanjing City 0
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 0
Guangxi Hengchen 4
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Yanbian Longding 0
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 0
Shenzhen Juniors 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 0
Suzhou Dongwu 2
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Dingnan Ganlian 2
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 1
Ningbo Professional 4
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
Changchun Yatai 1
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Jiangxi Lushan 2
Dalian Kun City 0
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Hangzhou Linping 1
Foshan Nanshi 0
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Guangzhou Dandelion 0
Wuxi Wugou 2
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/16-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1
Shaanxi Union 2
Zhejiang Professional 1
Dalian Kewei 1
Liaoning Tieren 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Qingdao Red Lions 0
Wuhan Three Towns 1
Guangxi Hengchen 0
Shandong Taishan 5
Shanghai Second 1
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Juniors 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3
Suzhou Dongwu 2
Yunnan Yukun 4
Shanghai Zetian 0
Chengdu Rongcheng 4
Ningbo Professional 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1
Qingdao West Coast 2
Jiangxi Lushan 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 2
Hangzhou Linping 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0
Shanghai Shenhua 2
Wuxi Wugou 2
Qingdao Hainiu 3
1/8-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Shaanxi Union 0
Dalian Kewei 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Wuhan Three Towns 2
Shandong Taishan 3
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1
Yunnan Yukun 4
Chengdu Rongcheng 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Qingdao West Coast 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shanghai Shenhua 4
Qingdao Hainiu 1
Quarter-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1
Beijing Guoan 3
Shandong Taishan 0
Shanghai Port 3
Yunnan Yukun 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong 0
Dalian Yingbo 1
Shanghai Shenhua 0
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan -
Shanghai Port -
Yunnan Yukun -
Dalian Yingbo -
Final
TBD -
TBD -