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Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:35 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yunnan Yukun host Chongqing Tonglianglong in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chongqing Tonglianglong have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Yunnan Yukun have conceded 1.9 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Yunnan Yukun slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Yunnan Yukun. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Yunnan Yukun
30%
Draws
12%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Yunnan Yukun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yunnan Yukun's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 16%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yunnan Yukun Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:0
May 20, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Yunnan Yukun
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 League One
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Yunnan Yukun
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 League One
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:1
Jul 2, 2023 League Two
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yunnan Yukun 57 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yunnan Yukun Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yunnan Yukun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yunnan Yukun scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Chongqing Tonglianglong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Yunnan Yukun has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yunnan Yukun VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yunnan Yukun

(Home)
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0
Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
15 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
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Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)