Sport Picks
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi 
Match Events
17'
17'
Chow T.
Assist: Wesley Moraes
23'
23'
Caio Vinicius
Assist: Shi Ke
37'
37'
Taty Maritu O.
Assist: Abdusalam Bunyamin
AI Match Summary
Yunnan Yukun in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yunnan Yukun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yunnan Yukun lately — more wins on the board than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
- Model gives Shenzhen Xinpengcheng a 30% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Yunnan Yukun here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 11%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yunnan Yukun | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yunnan Yukun Compare
Top Goalscorer Caio Vinicius
2 Goals Assists Leader Taty Maritu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Chow T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yunnan Yukun 22 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yunnan Yukun Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Yunnan Yukun scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.25 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Yunnan Yukun stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yunnan Yukun VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Yunnan Yukun
(Home) 10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1 Yunnan Yukun
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
15 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1 Dalian Yingbo
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng
26 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Away) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35:48 | 26 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40:47 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
