Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Chow T.
Assist: Wesley Moraes
23' Event
Caio Vinicius
Assist: Shi Ke
37' Event
Taty Maritu O.
Assist: Abdusalam Bunyamin

AI Match Summary

Yunnan Yukun host Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Yunnan Yukun have averaged 2 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Yunnan Yukun have won 3 to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.88 - 1.94) back Yunnan Yukun to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Yunnan Yukun
22%
Draws
18%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yunnan Yukun lately — more wins on the board than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • Model gives Yunnan Yukun a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yunnan Yukun here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yunnan Yukun Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taty Maritu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Chow T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yunnan Yukun 56 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yunnan Yukun Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yunnan Yukun scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Yunnan Yukun stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yunnan Yukun VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yunnan Yukun

(Home)
21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2
Shanghai Port
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
26 Jun
Qingdao Hainiu
4 : 2
Yunnan Yukun
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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
5Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
12Shanghai Port1966730:2619
13Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)