Sport Picks
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
Switzerland
Challenge League Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains 
Match Events
15'
15'
Tasar V.
Assist: Kongsro V.
42'
42'
Escorza T.
Assist: Camara S.
54'
54'
Sub
Kanoute M. In: Demhasaj S.
Out: Kanoute M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yverdon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Yverdon have won more games recently than Etoile-Carouge.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Yverdon taking it.
- Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yverdon | Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
1:1
May 3, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
3:5
Feb 20, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Yverdon
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Yverdon
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yverdon Compare
Top Goalscorer Tasar V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Etoile-Carouge Compare
Top Goalscorer Escorza T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yverdon 85 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yverdon Etoile-Carouge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yverdon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Yverdon scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Etoile-Carouge let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Yverdon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yverdon VS Etoile-Carouge
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Yverdon
(Home) 20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0 Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0 Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1 Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2 Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1 Wil
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0 Lausanne Ouchy
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1 Stade Nyonnais
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1 Wil
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1 Aarau
31 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 3
Etoile-Carouge
(Away) 18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1 Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
21 Aug
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
15 Aug
Collex-Bossy
0 : 2 Etoile-Carouge
31 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 6 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:23 | 2 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)
