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Yverdon vs Winterthur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yverdon host Winterthur in the Challenge League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Yverdon at 2.1 goals for, 1.31 against; Winterthur at 1.97 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Yverdon slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.75) point toward Yverdon. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Yverdon
15%
Draws
35%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Yverdon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Yverdon are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 12%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Yverdon
2:2
May 17, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Yverdon
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
Yverdon vs Winterthur
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Yverdon vs Winterthur
3:0
Aug 4, 2024 Super League
Winterthur vs Yverdon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 40 / 100
Winterthur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yverdon scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Yverdon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Winterthur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS Winterthur
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
25 Oct
Yverdon
5 : 2
Kriens
17 Oct
Old Boys
1 : 2
Yverdon
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
02 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 3
Yverdon
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

Winterthur

(Away)
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1
Luzern
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0
Winterthur
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 11 7 4 0 20:3 25
2 Yverdon 11 6 4 1 21:11 22
3 Winterthur 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Xamax 11 5 1 5 15:17 16
5 Kriens 11 4 3 4 19:17 15
6 Aarau 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
7 Etoile-Carouge 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
8 Rapperswil-Jona 11 3 2 6 17:21 11
9 Wil 11 2 5 4 18:24 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 11 1 2 8 8:28 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)