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Zabbar vs Hamrun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fontanella M.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
46'
Sub
Vinicius Kanu In: Gouhon P. F.
Out: Vinicius Kanu

AI Match Summary

Hamrun in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamrun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zabbar
30%
Draws
42%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hamrun have won more games recently than Zabbar.
  • Win probability leans Hamrun's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hamrun have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 16%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabbar Hamrun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Zabbar vs Hamrun
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Zabbar
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 Premier League
Zabbar vs Hamrun
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Zabbar vs Hamrun
0:1
Feb 5, 2025 FA Trophy
Zabbar vs Hamrun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabbar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trotta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabbar 23 / 100
Hamrun 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabbar Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zabbar found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Hamrun let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Zabbar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zabbar VS Hamrun
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabbar

(Home)
26 Oct
Floriana
1 : 2
Zabbar
21 Oct
Zabbar
2 : 3
Sliema
17 Oct
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Zabbar
10 Oct
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Zabbar
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
Page 1 of 6

Hamrun

(Away)
25 Oct
Valletta
1 : 2
Hamrun
21 Oct
Hamrun
1 : 1
Balzan FC
18 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Hamrun
11 Oct
Hamrun
2 : 2
Hibernians
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 10 7 1 2 22:9 22
2 Marsaxlokk 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
3 Sliema 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Floriana 10 4 4 2 22:14 16
5 Hamrun 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
6 Birkirkara 10 4 2 4 12:9 14
7 Mosta FC 10 3 5 2 15:15 14
8 Hibernians 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
9 Balzan FC 10 2 5 3 12:12 11
10 Zabbar 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
11 Gzira 10 0 5 5 9:21 5
12 Birzebbuga 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)