Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Zabkovia Zabki

0 - 1

Suwalki

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Guzdek B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Zabkovia Zabki

28%

Draws

50%

Suwalki

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Suwalki have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
Model gives Suwalki a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 11%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zabkovia Zabki	Suwalki
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	17
Draws	5	4
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Zabkovia Zabki vs Suwalki

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Aug 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Zabkovia Zabki

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Apr 23, 2016 Division 1

Zabkovia Zabki vs Suwalki

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Sep 27, 2015 Division 1

Suwalki vs Zabkovia Zabki

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 11, 2015 Division 1

Zabkovia Zabki vs Suwalki

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzdek B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 22 / 100

Suwalki 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zabkovia Zabki Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zabkovia Zabki's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Suwalki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Zabkovia Zabki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS Suwalki

1.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15