Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacapa vs Coban Imperial Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Sat, Jan 25, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacapa host Coban Imperial in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Coban Imperial are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Zacapa at 0.36 goals for, 1.86 against; Coban Imperial at 1.11 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Coban Imperial slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 0.99, favoring Coban Imperial. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Zacapa
35%
Draws
56%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Coban Imperial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zacapa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 20%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Coban Imperial
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 0 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.36 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
3:1
Aug 26, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 42 / 100
Coban Imperial 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Zacapa found the back of the net in 29% of recent matches (14 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Zacapa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coban Imperial
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Coban Imperial

(Away)
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)