Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
Zacatecas Mineros Logo

Zacatecas Mineros

3 - 0
FT
Club Atletico Morelia Logo

Club Atletico Morelia

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Perez M.
Assist: Padilla P.
16'
Villacorta A.
23'
Villacorta A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Zacatecas Mineros
11%
Draws
80%
Club Atletico Morelia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Zacatecas Mineros.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Club Atletico Morelia taking it.
  • Club Atletico Morelia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zacatecas Mineros, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 20%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Club Atletico Morelia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club Atletico Morelia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 12 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Club Atletico Morelia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zacatecas Mineros scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Club Atletico Morelia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Zacatecas Mineros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatecas Mineros

(Home)
25 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 3
Correcaminos
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3
Juarez
27 Jun
Club Leon
7 : 4
Zacatecas Mineros
04 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 7

Club Atletico Morelia

(Away)
26 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 2
Atletico La Paz
05 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
20 Jun
Necaxa
1 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
26 Apr
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
23 Apr
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos2
Atlante2
Club Atletico Morelia2
Zacatecas Mineros3
Cancun2
Tapatio1
Atletico La Paz1
Jaiba Brava4
Semi-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos2
Zacatecas Mineros2
Cancun2
Jaiba Brava3
Final
Tepatitlan de Morelos1
Jaiba Brava0