Sport Picks
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas 
Match Events
24'
24'
Carballo E.
28'
28'
del Campo R.
30'
30'
Hernandez L.
AI Match Summary
Club Atletico Morelia in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Atletico Morelia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Zacatecas Mineros.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 13%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zacatecas Mineros | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zacatecas Mineros 31 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zacatecas Mineros Club Atletico Morelia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Atletico Morelia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zacatecas Mineros found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Club Atletico Morelia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Zacatecas Mineros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zacatecas Mineros VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zacatecas Mineros
(Home) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
Club Atletico Morelia
(Away) 10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
